Analysis GST 1 min read

Economist Argues Middle East Conflict Makes GST Inclusion of Petrol, Diesel Imperative

TaxIntelHub · 05 April 2026

Middle East tensions have pushed India's crude oil basket to $120.84 per barrel, a 75% increase since February, renewing calls for GST inclusion on petrol and diesel.

Currently, petrol and diesel are outside the GST regime, subject to central excise duties and state VAT, leading to price variations and higher costs for consumers. The ongoing Middle East conflict is exacerbating inflationary pressures and import costs for India.

Inflation impact
Conflict could raise retail inflation by 1.5%.
GDP erosion
GDP growth could decrease by 1%.
State revenue concerns
States fear revenue loss from GST.

GST inclusion could stabilize fuel prices and ease inflationary pressures, but requires addressing state revenue concerns.

Monitor GST Council discussions on petroleum products.

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